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It is an honor to be in Russia as my mother was, as a cryptographer, connected with operations of the US Secretary of State Cordell Hull who visited Moscow in October 1943 to discuss matters regarding the war against Nazi Germany.

I have spoken out for more than twenty years about the CIA's involvement in the international drug trade. While in Russia I have listened closely now to outstanding presentations by many experts and if I have anything significant to add to this discussion it is to agree clearly with other opinions I have heard expressed that the study of economics and international finance, if it is to be effective, must be connected to political and social undercurrents. A mere study of numbers and graphs often leads to erroneous conclusions because it does not take into account the unseen events which truly guide and determine the economic symptoms which are then measured by numbers.

This congress has focused on what many here believe is the imminent collapse of the U.S. dollar. I do not agree with this concept and I have heard others here express the same sentiment. While I do not think that the collapse of the US dollar is imminent I absolutely do believe that the collapse of the US stock markets is. Too many countries around the world rely upon the US dollar as a reserve currency. This fact alone, I believe, would prevent the dollar's collapse. However, as all of the experts here have so clearly pointed out, the US economy is in serious trouble and I believe that the US stock market is in immediate peril.

In order to understand this it is essential to study the role of money laundering in international finance. As much as $200 billion US has been looted out of Russia in the last ten years and much of it laundered through US financial institutions like the Bank of New York. I wrote about this in the fall of 1999. But to place this in context it is necessary to note that in 1994 the UN estimated that $440 billion a year in illegal drug money was moved through the world's banking system. Just 18 months ago "Le Monde Diplomatique" estimated the annual drug flow at $500 billion with the total annual proceeds of criminal activity amounting to $1 trillion US. And just two weeks before I came here the "San Francisco Chronicle" cited the International Monetary Fund as stating that the amount of criminal money moving through the world economy is $1.5 trillion US each year.

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